Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Our Foundation of Promises

Denninger: If you think the stock market is bottoming then you must have some sort of belief that the credit markets are improving. I'm sure you can explain, then, why the IRX (13 week T-Bill) is yielding a whole 1/11th of a percent (annually!) … Barack Obama made the statement that "deficits are not important" on 60 Minutes Sunday.

He is going to get a rude surprise; the President of the United States is subservient to the bond market - specifically, he is subservient to the willingness of foreigners to finance our deficit spending. Embroiled in their own mess this capacity is quickly eroding, and over the last ten years our Treasury has put itself in the unenviable position of shortening the maturity of its outstanding debt (to get lower interest rates) which raises the potential of a rollover funding "emergency".

I have said it before and I'll say it again - President Obama is going to find himself on the wrong end of reality, and be forced into austerity measures that neither he or Americans are going to like one little bit. I wouldn't want his job when he is forced to go on Prime Time TV to tell America that we simply can't finance our profligate spending any more and that serious, real, across-the-board cuts are going to have to be made to our federal budget, entitlements and "promises" - that we simply cannot keep those promises.