Friday, October 21, 2005

Tarnish on the Holy Grail of Global Warming


It is a beautiful autumn day in Wisconsin and the biomass formed over the summer from carbon dioxide and water is nearing the height of its brilliant fall colors. Some of the intricate CO2 constructions are falling from the trees.

Earlier this week I wrote about how independent verification of results is the defining characteristic of science, and the fact that much of the Global Warming and Climate Change work is simply not science. A recent posting at Climate Audit discusses the defensiveness of many of the “researchers”, and the following quote from one researcher sums up the matter perfectly.
"We have 25 or so years invested in the work. Why should I make the data available to you, when your aim is to try and find something wrong with it."
There is a link in the comments to Prof. Jaworowski's US Senate Statement in which he refutes the use of glacier studies of carbon dioxide concentration as a basis for establishing pre-industrial CO2 levels.
For the past 40 years I was involved in glacier studies, using snow and ice as a matrix for reconstruction of history of man-made pollution of the global atmosphere. A part of these studies was related to the climatic issues. Ice core records of CO2 have been widely used as a proof that, due to man's activity the current atmospheric level of CO2 is about 25% higher than in the pre-industrial period. These records became the basic input parameters in the models of the global carbon cycle and a cornerstone of the man-made climatic warming hypothesis. These records do not represent the atmospheric reality, as I will try to demonstrate in my statement.
The Professor then discusses some pretty technical data on the chemistry of water and gasses under pressure. Gasses dissolve into water and water moves back and forth between solid and liquid states depending on pressure and temperature. Carbon dioxide interacts chemically with all the other molecules trapped in the ice. The net result is that measurements of CO2 levels in glacial ice are not accurate measurements of the pre-industrial atmosphere.
The notion of low pre-industrial CO2 atmospheric level, based on such poor knowledge, became a widely accepted Holy Grail of climate warming models. … Improper manipulation of data, and arbitrary rejection of readings that do not fit the pre-conceived idea on man-made global warming is common in many glaciological studies of greenhouse gases. … The basis of most of the IPCC conclusions on anthropogenic causes and on projections of climatic change is the assumption of low level of CO2 in the pre-industrial atmosphere. This assumption, based on glaciological studies, is false.
No matter what the environmentalist agenda declares, a claim is not science if the data is not independently reproducible, and a claim is false if any underlying premise is false.